And maybe at 4 p.m., I watch the news and I'll have this little chat with my family about Sharon and elections.
可能在4点时,我会看新闻,与我的家人交谈,谈论沙龙以及选举。
He would also regard the peculiar American practice of elections rather than the Greek practice of appointing political offices by lot.
他也将关注,奇怪的美式选举方式,那有别于透过抽签决定的,希腊式指派政治官位模式。
I think it can because to me, it seems that it's very similar to the process of electing representatives for legislature.
我认为是可以的,因为对我来说这非常类似于,选举立法代表的过程。
In the '97--In the 80's and 90's, the Labor Party in England had lost election, after election, after election.
在97年,是八九十年代的事情,英国工党在选举败选,而且是连年落败
I also served for the two years before that as the policy director of President Bush's presidential campain, working at the Texas.
在那之前,我做过两年的,布什总统选举的,政策主任,在德州工作。
If you're relentlessly selfish and calculating you would say, the chances that I decide the election are zero, so I'm just not going to bother.
如果你唯利是图,精于算计,你会说,我的投票能够决定选举的概率是零,所以我根本无需投票
Let's turn to the next president who is gonna have a hard choice to make.
接下来我们谈谈下届总统选举的问题,这个不太容易搞定。
We still keep finding our presidential elections won or lost in the South.
我们知道南方在总统选举中,有举足轻重的作用
And,you want your bridge, well,let's see how the elections go next time.
你希望可以在这儿建一座桥,那就看你们下次选举的表现了
Well assume that we're in a plurality election here, so the winner is the person who gets a plurality.
假设我们在进行一个多数制选举,所以当选者是获得票数最多的人
So there are examples in American History of elections that seem to in which the Median Voter Theorem seems to do well.
因此从美国历史上的选举案例里看,中位数选民定理非常奏效
He has been chosen twice by the people in Afghnastan even though this last election obviously had a greatly flawed involved in it.
他曾两次被阿富汗人民选中,虽然第二次的选举有漏洞。
Or, if this is a primary election, a larger share of the vote gives you a bigger push for the next primary or whatever.
或者把它看成是总统大选的初选,获得更多的票数,对你下一轮的选举起到积极作用
And the elections in the early 1880s would certainly make this clear.
十九世纪八十年代初的选举证实了这一点
So the other possible deviation we have to consider, is a deviation of the form of one of these guys dropping out.
那么另外一个我们必须要考虑的偏差,是她们俩有一个人退出选举
Things like elections political leaders and parties different causes to which they may feel some attraction interested in wars and revolutions that they see or have heard about.
主题像是选举,政治领袖及政党,因为不同的原因,他们可能觉得,战争的主题很有吸引力,或是他们亲睹或听闻过的革命,因为想要学习这些事务。
For example, there was Nader in the election in well I guess he was there in the other one as well but he was particularly there in 2000.
例如,纳德也参与到了那次大选,我猜他也在另外一场选举中,但很显然他也参加了2000年的大选
Good, so by standing not only does she not win the election, but she actually causes the election to be won for sure by Jean who's further away from her.
很好,参选不仅不能让她在选举中获胜,而且会导致,离她更远的吉恩在选举中获胜
So what Tony Blair, the guy who won the '97 election, did with "New Labor policy" was he managed to commit to a centrist policy by literally committing to it.
而托尼·布莱尔代表的工党,在97年大选中获胜,他在选举中提出了新工党政策,他成功让选民相信,工党是真正意义上的中间派
And in each election, they would come forward and say, "we are not really a left wing party, we're a centrist party these days" And people would say, we don't believe you.
每次选举的时候,他们都会声称,我们不是一个左翼政党,我们现在是中间派,但是选民都不相信他们
He would regard elections as merely exacerbating the tendency to demagoguery where each person seeking office plays shamelessly to the mob promising all manner of things that they know they will not and cannot deliver.
他会视选举不过就是,加剧煽动行为的倾向,每一位寻求官位的人,都会无耻地沦为盗贼,承诺所有他们明知压根儿无法,及不能兑现的政治支票。
So, by the way, I don't mean this as a joke, in some sense there's always a third candidate and that comes from the problem we had earlier, because not voting is always an option.
顺便说一句,我不认为某种程度上说,是有三个选举人是一个笑话,这是由于一些由来已久的问题造成的,因为不投票也是一种选择
And one of the reasons why France ends up with a republic, and not a monarchy,is because these prefects who represent the Republic can go into conservative regions and say, "hey,we didn't really like the way the elections came out last time; your municipal council, uh-uh-uh,a lot of monarchists there.
这也是为什么最终法国成为共和国,而没有成为君主制国家的原因,是因为,代表共和政体的省长可以去守旧地区并说,"嘿,我们并不喜欢上次的选举方式,你们的城市议会,有太多的拥护君主制度者了
So here's our election, and it's between a, which way do I want to do it?
这是我们的选举,它介于,我想怎么做呢
We're going to imagine that there are two candidates, and what these candidates are doing is they're choosing their political positions for an election.
假设有两个候选人,而这两个候选人,为了选举必须确定自己的政治立场
And it came down to what somebody else said here: that left the election on the other dimension, which might have been character or whatever.
这就跟某些在座的同学说一样,选举的重点往往在其他方面,比如说性格或者其他方面
but by dropping out she insures that somebody further away from her wins for sure.
但退出选举导致,其他离她更远的人获胜
I'm going to go away from studying imperfect competition and go back and visit something we studied almost the first day or maybe the second day, and that election.
我将放下不完全竞争,而是返回去讲我们几乎是第一天,或者是第二天学习的一些内容,就是选举
If you look at the '68 election, which Nixon won, Nixon sounds, on those tapes of his policies being put forth in that election, he looks extremely liberal for a Republican.
如果你回顾68年尼克松胜出的那次选举,尼克松在那些,表达他政治主张的选举录像里看起来,作为一位共和党人士的他却并不保守
So these are the potential voters and and each of them is in the position that Fred Thompson was in, two weeks ago in the Republican Primary, when he's deciding whether to run or not.
这些是潜在选民并且,每个人都处于弗雷德·汤普森曾经的立场,就在两周前的共和党初选,当他考虑是否参加选举时
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