Because we've just sat in lecture and you've told us we're not being rational if we pick a high number.

因为我们刚刚上过课,你告诉我们选大数的人是不理性的

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

I chose English Literature because when I started off a university, I didn't know what it was I wanted to do.

我选英语文学是因为当我刚上大学的时候，我不知道自己到底想做什么。

为何选那门专业？ - SpeakingMax英语口语达人

In fact,if you wanted to argue against, say,the Letter of Hebrews being included,you could say, "But all the people in the East don't accept the Letter of Hebrews as part of their canon,so we shouldn't,either."

实际上，如果你想反对，希伯来书被选上，你可以说，“但是东方的人都不承认希伯来书,属于他们的正典，所以我们也不应承认“

耶鲁公开课 - 新约课程节选

So numbers bigger than 67 seem pretty crazy choices, but crazy isn't the word I'm looking for here.

那些选大于67数的人看起来挺傻的了,但他们傻不傻不是我们要关心的问题

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

I said, well, let's do something on, I don't know, pick a topic.

我说，好，让我们做点东西，我不知道，选一个课题。

麻省理工公开课 - 固态化学导论课程节选

PROFESSOR: Great question. So the question is, how do you choose an algorithm, why would I choose to use a pseudo-polynomial algorithm when I don't know how big the solution is likely to be, I think that's one way to think about it.

教授：问得好，所以问题是，你怎样选择算法，为什么当我,不知道解决方案会有多大的时候,我要选伪多项式算法呢，我想这是一种思考问题的方式。

麻省理工公开课 - 计算机科学及编程导论课程节选

So, it makes a binary decision, either I create an action potential or I don't, but that decision could be based on many inputs, not just on input from one cell.

所以 这里产生一个二选一的决策,就是产生动作电位亦或不产生,不过这个决定可能是,根据很多输入信号做出的,而不是仅凭单个细胞所传来的信号

耶鲁公开课 - 生物医学工程探索课程节选

There was a paper that I wrote with a colleague in globalization and health, and this quote that I--that I'll show you is from that and I'll read it in case it's a little hard to see.

这篇论文是我和一位,研究全球化和健康的同事一起写的,它引用了,我给你们看的就是选自其中,我会给你们念,它不太容易看到

耶鲁公开课 - 关于食物的心理学、生物学和政治学课程节选

Did you know that of people who take positive psychology, 75% of you are officers of club, 35% of you are the highest ranking officers of club, which means that you think there are about 2000 clubs at Harvard, you are in club of three, and you happen to be the president.

你不知不知道选了积极心理学的人中，有75%的人是俱乐部的干部，35%是俱乐部的高层干部，这意味着，你认为哈佛有大约2000个俱乐部，你在一个只有3个人的俱乐部里，又恰好是主席。

哈佛公开课 - 幸福课课程节选

people might decide to pick their classes or not. So usually,

人们可能根据这个决定选不选课。所以，通常，

课程评价网站 - SpeakingMax英语口语达人

but it's hard because I wouldn't know what to choose.

但是，这很难，因为我不知道该选什么专业。

想开精品店 - SpeakingMax英语口语达人

So not only was he choosing a position close to the Conservatives: he was choosing exactly their position.

他不只是选了一个临近保守派的立场,他选的就是一个保守派的立场

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

If your opponent doesn't choose 1 or 2, then you're always going to be 5% better off if you choose 2 than 1.

如果你的对手不选1立场或者2,你选择立场2总会比选择,立场1多得到5%的选票

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

The reason I don't want to play a strictly dominated strategy is, if instead, I play the strategy that dominates it, I do better in every case.

我不选择严格劣势策略的原因是,要我选了优势策略,我在每次博弈都得到更好的收益

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

But if there's no belief that could possibly justify it, don't do it.

但任何信念下这么选都不合理

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So Christine is correct in saying that once we delete the strategies 1 and 10 once we realize that those positions are not going to be chosen by our sophisticated candidates then we realize that probably choosing 2 isn't a good idea either.

克里斯汀说的很对,一旦我们剔除了策略1和10,一旦我们意识到,不会有人选择这些立场时,我们会发现,选立场2或9可能也不是个好主意了

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

Now, we get to draw some lessons out of this thing, so everybody who's feeling a little bit shell shocked from having been doing algebra and calculus and drawing pictures and feeling like they've been cheated into taking a class that looks far too much like economics, calm down we're going to actually talk right now.

下面我们从中总结点经验出来,那些因为代数和微积分计算还有绘图,而感到十分不爽的同学,你们是不是感觉被我忽悠了,才会选这门一点都不像经济学的课啊,稍安勿躁,我们马上切入正题

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

In the first game, it was kind of clear that we should choose Alpha and here it's not at all clear what we can do-- what we should do.

在第一个博弈里,我们很显然应该选α,但这次我们应该怎么选就很不确定了

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So what we know here, we know that Player II should not choose right.

从中我们得出参与者II不应该选右

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

The reason I never want to play a strictly dominated strategy is, if instead I play the strategy that dominates it, whatever anyone else does, I'm doing better than I would have done.

为什么我不选择严格劣势策略,因为我要是选优势策略,不管别人怎么选,我总得到更好的结果

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

Good, so even if everyone in the number-- everyone in the room didn't choose randomly but they all chose a 100, a very unlikely circumstance, but even if everyone had chosen 100, the highest, the average, sorry, the highest two-thirds of the average could possibly be is 66 2/3, hence 67 would be a pretty good choice in that case.

好的,如果每个人,教室里的每个人不是随机选择数字,而是全选了100,这好像不太可能,但如果每个人真的都选了100,就是最大的书,那平均数,抱歉,平均数的2/3会是66又2/3,此情况下67应该是个不错的选项

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

If you had chosen Beta we would have all gotten B+'s but I guess not.

如果大家都选β都能得B+,但不太可行

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选