这可能表现为当天的事件像人们想象那样，他们在直观上并没有承认客观的概率。
It has been shown that even today people seem to think that. They don't really take, at an intuitive level, probabilities as objective.
为了理解概率，你要把事件想象成是随机发生的，但人们没有那样，清晰直观的认识。
In order to understand probability, you have to take things as coming from a random event and people don't clearly have that in their mind from an intuitive standpoint.
打电话叫有职业资格证的水管工人来修就意味着一笔昂贵的小时费，但是，管道工程的科学其实是很直观的，而且大多数问题的解决办法都比你想象的简单。
A call to a licensed plumber can mean an expensive hourly fee, but the science of plumbing is fairly straightforward, and most problems are simpler to solve than you might think.
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