人类倾向于把未来估计得比实际情况更好。人们严重低估离婚、失业和患上癌症的几率。人们期望子女聪明过人;期望自己成就斐然。这种认为未来将要比过去和现在更好的信念叫做“乐观偏见”,它影响抑郁症患者之外的几乎所有人。
实际上,乐观偏见和控制幻觉在导致冲突的过程中特别常见。
Indeed, the optimistic bias and the illusion of control are particularly rampant in the run-up to conflict.
我想大部分人都对乐观的,商业经济学家或者商人有偏见。
I think there's a bias towards optimism among business economists or among business people in general.
I think there's a bias towards optimism among business economists or among business people in general.
我想大部分人都对乐观的,商业经济学家或者商人有偏见。
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