债务负担率是当年债务余额占国内生产总值的比重,是国际上确立的公认的政府债务警戒线。国内生产总值GDP反映了一个国家或地区的偿债能力,是最终的偿债基础,西方国家和国际经济组织经常使用这一指标。 国际经验表明,发达国家的债务负担率一般在45%左右,它与发达国家财政收入占GDP的比重为45%左右有关,即债务余额与财政收入的数值相当时,也就达到了适度债务规模的临界值,超过此界限就意味着债务危机或债务风险。
像罗戈夫和莱因哈特描述的那样,危机也常常导致预算赤字的显著增长和债务负担率的增加。
As Rogoff and Reinhart have demonstrated, the crisis usually also leads to a dramatic increase in the budget deficit and a rise in the debt to GDP ratio.
同时,目前我国债务负担率相对较低,今年增加赤字后,赤字率在2%左右,总体上处于安全水平。
It should be noted that China has a relatively low debt-to-GDP ratio, and the increase in the deficit this year will bring the deficit-to-GDP ratio to about 2%, which is overall at a safe level.
然而,可以更确定的是毕业生的债务负担和违约率居高不下。
More certain, however, is that the debt burden and default rates for graduates are particularly high.
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