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On the other hand, as you shoot to the middle, since you're kicking the ball hard, you're slightly more likely to score.
另一方面,如果你射向中路,因为你踢球的力道较大,你反而更容易进球
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As I said before, for now we'll ignore the possibility that the goal keeper could stay put.
正如之前所说的,现在我们先不考虑,门将可能选择留在中路的情况
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The gamble was our wings will crush their wings and turn in on them from behind and from the side, and set them a running before they break through our middle.
赌的是在敌军突破我军的中路之前,我军的两翼摧毁敌军两翼,从侧翼和后方合围对手,使之四处逃散
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So you might think that maybe middle dominates left, but notice that middle has a higher payoff against left than shooting to the left.
你可能认为中路比左路好,那请你仔细看一下在门将扑向左路时,从中路射门的收益确实比左路高
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Certainly the goalie staying put is an issue, as I said we'll deal with that in the problem set, but there's another issue here.
门将守在中路的确是个问题,我们会在习题集中研究它,但除此之外还有一个问题
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He could kick the ball to the left, the middle, or the right.
他可以选择左路,中路,右路
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It has as lower payoff if the goalie dives to the right.
如果门将扑向右边中路反而不如左路了
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Portsmouth had a penalty and the guy who was going to take the penalty came up to kick the penalty and he kicked it to the middle and it was saved.
朴茨茅斯获得一个点球,主罚点球的球员站在球门前,一脚把球射向中路,门将扑救成功
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In principle the goalie could stay in the middle.
原则上说门将也可以守在中路不动
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How many of you would shoot to the middle?
有多少人选择中路
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The goalie might stay in the middle.
门将也可能守在中路
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And underlining what arises in this game, notice that in this game we're able to eliminate one of the strategies, in this case the strategy of shooting to the middle, even though nothing was dominated.
我们从这个博弈中可以得出,我们能够剔除其中的一个策略,在本案例中是从中路射门,尽管这里并没有劣势策略
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Here it goes in the middle, and if you look carefully there, I didn't really make it clear enough, you can see, suddenly a strategy that looked crazy shooting to the middle, that suddenly started to seem okay.
这是中路射门的情况,如果你仔细看,我可能画的不是很清楚,你会发现曾经卖傻似的中路射门法,现在竟然一下子变成香饽饽了
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So, not surprisingly in this game, it turns out that if the goalie dived to the left you're best off shooting to the right, second best off shooting to the middle, and worst off shooting to the left.
因此毫无争议地说,如果门将扑向左路,你最好选择从右路射门,其次是从中路射门,最差的选择是从左路射门
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So things are not... I haven't given you the numbers for the middle but... So you can see that whoever it was who said, you're slightly better off, you score with slightly higher probabilities when you kick to your natural side is exactly right.
所以事情不像是……,我虽然没有给出中路的概率,但是,我们先不管这些数字到底是谁总结的,我们发现我们走运了,当你从自然方向攻门的时候,你进球的概率会稍微提高
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