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But, we didn't do that many stocks, or that many days, so it's quite plausible that it's correct.
但是我们没有做那么多的股票，也没有实验那么多天。
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I won't be able to show you what a market does unless I have stocks, but I can look at what an individual stock does without having a market.
我不会在没有股票的时候,就给你讲股市应该是怎么样的，但是我可以在没有股市的情况下,先去看单独的股票。
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That's got the lowest possible standard deviation of expected return and that's 25% stocks and 75% bonds with this sample period.
这个组合预期回报的标准差最小,在这一点上，投资组合,由25%的股票和75%的债券构成。
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In our investing experiment that it was come with a puisne at Northwestern, she's now an assistent professor there people saw 3 options, two Stocks and a Bond.
在我们的投资试验中,试验是在西北大学一名晚辈的帮助下完成的，她现在是助理教授,受试者会看到三个选择，其中两个是股票，一个是债券。
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Underlying this analysis, we have estimates of the expected returns on assets, notably, the expected returns on stocks and bonds.
凭借这个分析，我们可以估算出资产预期投资收益，特别是股票和债券的预期收益。
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I also have up on the website some questions that I asked investors about what they think about picking stocks.
我在网站上也上传了一些思考题,是我曾经问过一些投资者的问题,他们怎样挑选股票
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Bob Shiller's friend, Jeremy Siegel, wrote a book that has the very simple title, Stocks For The Long Run.
鲍勃·希勒的朋友,杰瑞米·西格尔有一本著作,标题很简单,《股市长线法宝》
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Just by putting money into a broadly diversified portfolio of stocks you would have gotten 3,077 times your money.
仅仅将钱投资于,一个多样化的普通股组合,你就会获得本金的3077倍
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It sets the mean to 0, for s in stocks and then for s in the stocks, it moves it, giving it the bias and the momentum, then it shows the history.
它会让平均值等于，然后，它会改变它们的值，给它一个偏向值和股价势头值，然后它就会显示历史。
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Indexed portfolios, you basically say, I want to own all of the stocks that there are, and if the stock market goes up, I make money, if the stock market goes down, I lose money.
指数化资产组合，使之我拥有这些股票，如果股市走高，那么我就赚钱，如果股市走低我就赔钱。
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But if I would confine myself just to stocks and bonds, then I would get a much higher standard deviation.
但若组合里只有股票和债券，我的标准差会高得多。
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They'll buy stocks because they think price is going to go up and make them a lot of money.
购买股票,是因为他们认为股价会上升,从而可以赚很多钱
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They may fluctuate wildly, but if I look at enough stocks, the average should be right around 100.
他们可能会有很大的改变，但是如果我看过足够多的股票，平均值还是应该在100左右。
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It surprises many people that stocks have paid such an enormous premium over the return on short-term debt.
很多人没有想到的是,股票相比短期债券而言,存在一个巨大的溢价。
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They show the expected return on stocks versus bonds or short-term debt for a whole range of countries.
他们对这些国家的股票预期收益与,国债或者短期债券作出比较。
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If you had $1 to invest you can borrow $.50 and invest in a $1.50 worth of stocks.
比如你有1美元进行投资,你可以透支0。5美元,投资价值1。5美元的股票。
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