I thought that we'd begin then by turning to page 731, the left-hand column, the footnote.
现在我们可以开始了,翻到731页,看到左手边那一栏的脚注。
oh I chose Up because I thought the other guy was going to choose Left."
哦,我选上是因为,我认为对手会选左
If I thought there was 2/3 probability they'd choose Left and 1/3 probability they'd choose Right, then I think it's twice as likely they're going to choose Left, and I could redo this calculation.
如果你觉得对手选左的可能性是2/3,而选右的可能性是1/3,即对手选左的可能性是右的2倍时,我们再重新计算一下
So it turns out that, as the gentleman out there said, if I thought it was equally likely that my opponent was going to choose Left or Right, then actually my best choice, my best response is to choose Down.
这个结果和刚才那位先生说的,如果我觉得我对手,选择左或右的可能性相同的话,这时候最好的选择,也就是说我的最佳对策是选下
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