Another important concept in probability theory that we will use a lot is expected value, the mean, or average-- those are all roughly interchangeable concepts.

概率论中另外一个常用的重要的概念是,期望值或者也叫均值,这两个概念可以互换

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So this line represents the expected payoff of shooting to the middle as a function of the probability that the goal keeper dives to the right.

这条线表示从中路射门时罚球者的收益,是门将扑向右路概率的一个函数

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

It's the expected payoff to Player 1 if shooting to the left as it depends on the probability that the goal keeper dives to the right.

它表示参与人1,从左路射门的预期收益,与门将扑向右路的概率有关

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

And here's my green line representing my expected payoff as the shooter, from shooting to the right, as a function of the probability that the goalie dives to the right.

这条绿线表示作为一个罚球球员,我从右路射门的收益,是门将扑向右路概率的一个函数

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

And we already know if I look at the probability of a ?, which is here, that the payoff I get from choosing, the expected payoff I get from choosing up against a is 2.5.

我们已经计算过了概率是?的情况,即在对手概率是的情况下,我选择上我从中获得的,预期收益是2.5

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So one way to think about it is, is the expected distance from her of the winning candidates, is: with probability of a half it's herself so that's nothing, No distance, and with probability of a half it's two places away.

所以一种考虑的方法是,预期她与获胜者的距离是,由于她有一半获胜的机会所以没有成本,没有距离,且,距她两个位置远的人有另一半获胜的机会

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

So here's the straight line, and this line is the expected payoff to Player I from choosing Down as it depends on the probability that the other person chooses Right, and then once again, we can write down the equation.

这就是第三条直线了,它表示参与人I选择下获得的收益,是另一个参与人,选右概率的一个函数,对于这一条直线,我们依然能够给出方程式

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

This is the payoff to Player I of choosing Middle against Right, and the line in between, this line here, is the expected payoff to Player I of choosing Middle as a function of the probability that other people choose Right.

这条表示对手选右时参与人选中的收益,两个端点中间的线段部分,表示参与人I选右的预期收益,它是对手选右概率的一个方程

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选