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Now when Black Boy was published there was a war bond advertisement on the back cover of the book.
当《黑孩子》出版时,战争债券的广告是附在书后的。
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I mean, hypothetically a bond trading at $.60 on the dollar with an 8% coupon, five-year bond that's yielding about 18%.
我的意思是，假设一种债券以0。60美元进行交易,同时有8%的票息，五年期债券收益率在18%左右。
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It consists of a promise to pay, usually denominated in currency, and there are both long-term and short-term debt instruments.
是一种付款承诺,通常是货币支付形式,有长期债券,以及短期债券
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That's got the lowest possible standard deviation of expected return and that's 25% stocks and 75% bonds with this sample period.
这个组合预期回报的标准差最小,在这一点上，投资组合,由25%的股票和75%的债券构成。
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What these do is they insure the bond-- they insure the investor against the municipality failing to pay on the bond.
他们的业务是为市政债券保险,他们确保政府当局,有能力向投资者进行赔付
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Lo and behold, their bonds would go up because people had discovered that you might be entitled to par.
你可以发现，他们的债券价格会上升因为人们,已经发现你可能有权以票面价值。
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If the Fed wants to push the Federal Funds Rate up and down it goes and buys short-term government bonds.
如果联邦希望推动,联邦资金利率上升下降,它将会去买短期的政府债券。
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So there's not a lot of room in the government bond market or other high-quality bond markets to generate excess returns.
所以对于政府债券或者优质债券,超额收益的空间不大
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Underlying this analysis, we have estimates of the expected returns on assets, notably, the expected returns on stocks and bonds.
凭借这个分析，我们可以估算出资产预期投资收益，特别是股票和债券的预期收益。
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You could also pick a point down here, which is more than 100% bonds-- how would you do that?
你也可能选择一个下面的点，表示超过100%，的债券-,这是如何做到的呢？
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Now, the interest rate in Irving Fisher's world has to equate supply and demand in the market for debt.
在费雪的理论里,利率必须与,债券市场的供需关系保持平衡
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The ones that are beautiful for framing are the ones that failed, so you can see all the coupons.
那些用来陈列的债券,其实都是违约的,因此你们才能看到息票
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But if I would confine myself just to stocks and bonds, then I would get a much higher standard deviation.
但若组合里只有股票和债券，我的标准差会高得多。
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You have closed end funds, trade as a security listed on the stock exchange, but what they do is own other securities.
假如你持有封闭式基金，这种基金在证券交易所作为一种债券进行交易，但是实际上它们做的是持有其他债券。
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So, for companies that could pay you back, but their bonds are trading below par, probably because they have a low coupon.
因此，公司也许可以支付你，但是它们的债券只能以低于票面价值交易，很可能是因为他们的票息很低。
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Bond allocations had increased by more than could be explained by the increase in bond prices over the course of the year.
同时资产配置中的债券投资比重,以高于当年债券价格上涨的速度,有了显著增加
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The yield-to-maturity on an indexed bond is already in real terms because the coupons are indexed to inflation.
这种债券的到期收益率,就是实际收益率,因为票息已经被通胀指数化了
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It surprises many people that stocks have paid such an enormous premium over the return on short-term debt.
很多人没有想到的是,股票相比短期债券而言,存在一个巨大的溢价。
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we tried to anticipate what companies might not be able to file and buy their bonds in advance.
我们试图去预测,什么样的公司可能没有能力发布,然后提前购买它们的债券。
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They show the expected return on stocks versus bonds or short-term debt for a whole range of countries.
他们对这些国家的股票预期收益与,国债或者短期债券作出比较。
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So the debt market is something worthy of studying because it really represents a market for time itself.
债券市场很值得研究,因为它恰恰代表着,证券市场的时间价值
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It is showing since the U.S. Government issues these bonds, it's showing its data on these bonds.
这里显示了,因为这些债券是美国政府发行的,所以这里显示了这些债券发行的数据
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The pink line takes two assets, one is stocks and the other is bonds, actually government bonds.
粉色线包含两种资产的投资组合，一个股票，另一个是债券，实际上是政府债券。
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So, if a bond was issued when interest rates were lower, they might have a 4% coupon when the prevailing rate is 6%.
所以，如果一只债券在利率很低的时候发行，在汇率为6%的的时候，它们可能有一个4%的票息。
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Another formula is--what if the consol doesn't pay-- I'm sorry, the next thing is a growing consol.
另外一个公式则是,如果债务并不偿还会如何,不好意思,接下来要讲的是上涨债券
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The price of the two-period bond is 1/2 and the price of the one-period bond is 1/.
所以两年期债券的价格是1/^2,一年期债券的价格则是1/
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I mean, do you really--you might wonder, aren't people missing something if the excess return is so high of stocks over short-term bonds?
我是指，你们真的。。。你们也会怀疑，这里是不是少了点什么,如果股票收益率高出短期债券收益率那么多？
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In my diagram, I said that the tangency portfolio-- I estimated that the tangency portfolio is 9% oil, 27% stocks, and 64% bonds.
在我的曲线图里我有提到切线资产组合-,我估算出切线资产组合是9%的石油，27%的股票和64%的债券。
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I computed the average return on stocks over that time period and I computed the average return on bonds over that time period.
我计算了那个时间段的股票平均收益率,和债券平均收益率。
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Well, there's this funny glitch here between three-month and one-year, but then it just continued to decline.
虽然在三月到一年期债券间有个小波折,但整体趋势是向下的
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