There could be an upside of around 10% to our estimate for Qualcomm stock, if the royalty rates continue its upward trend to reach around 4% by the end of Trefis forecast period.
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That drove the growth trend up to 2.4 percent, from 1.4 percent over the three months ending in July.
But applying the same logic to Japan, where growth has averaged only 0.7% a year over the past seven years, compared with a previous trend rate of 3-4%, one could argue that Japan's output has already fallen by as much as 15-20% relative to its previous trend.
Investors seemed to have few concerns, focusing instead on the positive pricing trend and sending shares of Travelers 4.9% higher Wednesday morning.
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The estimate is derived from the trend line shown in Exhibit 3.(4) Subtracting a 3.0% inflation rate would net a respectable 5.92% annual rate of real wealth increase.
The year-over-year trend in nominal GDP growth has steadily declined from 4.3% at the end of 2010 to 3.3% at the end of 2012.
Academics put the long-term trend in corporate profit growth at no more than 4% per year, not the 7% needed for dividend discount models to justify current stock prices.
When interest rates are 4% and inflation is low, the trend-line multiplier actually is mid-teens.
Excluding all of these special factors, incomes rose 0.6% in November and just 0.4% in December - in line with the trend increase during the rest of the year.
The fund is also heavily weighted towards the steel industry (27.4%) which should drive returns as steel prices trend upwards.
While Thursday's trend has been: 5.6, 5.2, 4.5, 4.1, 3.7, 3.9, 3.8, 3.6, 3.1 and then last night's preliminary 2.8, down 33 percent from last year's airing this week.
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Antigenics ' (nasdaq: AGEN - news - people ) decision to test the drug in chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML), a rare disease developed by more than 4, 000 adults per year, is emblematic of a trend in drug development.
In 1999, courts in England made 4, 100 adoption orders, compared with 1968, when the trend peaked at 25, 000 orders.
By the time American Idol drew 1.4 million Social Media comments for its May finale, the overall trend of greater engagement was already clear.
However, the company expects this trend to reverse in the future, with copper output projected to rise to 4.3 billion next year, from an estimated 3.6 billion pounds in 2012, with further gains in future years.
But he goes further than just believing that America's long-term trend growth rate is, say, 2-3% a year rather than 4-5%.
With the bond market all but assuming a rate hike will come by summer from the Fed, and with the ten-year Treasury yield occasionally spiking above 4.4%, it is quite likely that mortgage rates will continue to trend higher from their lows hit late last spring.
Interestingly, the trend can be explained entirely by valuation effects, with the trade-weighted dollar depreciating 4%% in that time frame.
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There is a clear downward trend until October, the most recently reported month, when revenue growth rose to -4.1% after bottoming out at -4.9% in September.
Still, the greenback got a push higher against the yen in early Asian trading as data showed Japanese investors reversed a two-month selling trend by becoming net buyers of foreign bonds in the past two weeks through to May 4, according to the Ministry of Finance.
Yields were higher in March, around 2.4%, so a decisive close above this level would suggest a change in trend.
Instead, overall crime rose more than 4% in 2012, compared to 2011, countering a 20-plus-year trend of year-over-year falling crime rates.
Major felony crimes citywide increased more than 4% last year compared with the previous year, breaking a 20-plus-year trend of year-over-year crime decreases.
One in five youths between age 10 and 18 have been a victim of cyberbullying or participated in it, according to a survey of 4, 400 children conducted by the Cyberbullying Research Center, an organization tracking the internet bullying trend.
The survey also showed that, while most second-generation Moroccan immigrants visit mosques less often than their parents, the trend is reversed in the Netherlands: half of the immigrants' children visit the places of worship, 4 percent more than the first generation.
Early evidence of this trend is to be found in the following, important article that appeared in Investor's Business Daily on 4 January.
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The index has been on a downward trend since, falling in 16 out of the last 21 quarters and overall it has fallen by 11.4% to Q3 2012.
Hon Hai's net margin fell to 1.4% in the second quarter from 1.5% in the first, continuing a downward trend from double digits at the end of the 1990s.
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