The trouble with the Recency Effect is that everyone all of a sudden thought they were Nassim Taleb, orinthological experts on the spotting of Black Swans.
Also speaking on Newsnight Scotland, Harry Reid, former editor of the Herald newspaper, who is currently writing a book about Scotland's relationship with religion, said he thought the cardinal's "sudden departure" would "leave a gap" in the Catholic Church in Scotland.
BBC: Cardinal Keith O'Brien 'right' to resign ahead of conclave
"While initially it was thought that we were dealing with a sudden death, officers became increasingly suspicious of the circumstances, " said Det Ch Insp Ian Pollard.
How many times have you thought about winning the lottery and how the sudden millions would change your life?
Now all of a sudden, they are running a race that no one thought they would have to, against John Kerry.
Then I changed to restaurant kitchens, where all of a sudden there were just more men than women, and I always thought that was weird.
It is the ability it gives a few large firms to control the market for short periods of time, sucking investors into positions, or driving them out, not based on careful thought or analysis, but in emotional reaction to a sudden temporary intraday rally created by a wave of buy programs, or a sudden intraday decline created by a wave of sell programs.
Many were attending a magic show and some thought, when the lights first went out, that the sudden darkness was part of the performance.
CNN: 1 year on, survivors of Costa Concordia to mark the disaster
"I have hired people who I thought were going to be an asset and all of a sudden they stopped coming in, " says Mr. Ramsey, whose business partner, Kevin Willmer, is also gay and his life partner.
WSJ: Should Gay Business Owners Out Themselves to Job Candidates?
And if you think back, historically, people like Muskee, when, you know, Muskee was in New Hampshire, who I thought he was going to win big, then all of a sudden, people realized the guy has got a little bit of a temper.
应用推荐