Only in the quartile with exposures above 31.8 parts per billion do the odds values exceed 1, yet the figure suggests that at higher levels, probability starts to drop again.
That the iPhone 5 might get one third of the iPhone market, or one third of the smart-phone marketplace, or possibly even one third of all phone sales: all seem possible with lowering levels of probability.
Though ICCAT also promised to commit itself to catch levels based on scientific evidence, it proposed to postpone doing so until somewhere between 2011 and 2013, and then only at levels that would give a 60% probability of rebuilding the stock by 2023.