What they don't do, but should, is assign probabilities to various behaviors by future Congresses.
Risk is often communicated using percentages and probabilities, which most of us struggle to interpret.
Analyzing behavior dynamically over time helps marketers model the probabilities of customers taking different actions.
Therefore based on probabilities, Apple stock offers a favorable risk reward ratio at this time.
Past probabilities are based on past processes, when those processes change, the probabilities change.
Decision trees are remarkably effective, showing costs and probabilities of decisions made today and tomorrow.
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Investors need explicit information about probabilities, about outcomes and value assumptions underlying these projects.
By calculating probabilities and doing extensive lab tests, Crooke surmised that a 20-nucleotide sequence was optimal.
The site also offers some unique content in the form of user generated probabilities.
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There is clearly an opportunity for insurers here, given their experience in modeling these probabilities.
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"I am therefore satisfied on the balance of probabilities that Gareth was killed unlawfully, " she concluded.
You take the information, assess the probabilities and make a financial investment based on those probabilities.
The site records the wind strength of hurricane and tropical storm winds, and strike probabilities.
Median default probabilities for Singapore corporations have risen 35-fold since January 1997, to 4.2%, a junk rating.
In a bell-curve distribution of probabilities, the range of possible events are clumped together around the average.
Very little in medicine is black and white, and we have to weigh probabilities when making decisions.
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If anyone would fully understand the relationship between mathematical figures and sports probabilities, Ryan is that person.
The disconnect between raw probabilities and how they are presented can extend past iconography to weather broadcasts.
So, how can sports facilities and associated venues try to prepare for the unspeakable probabilities of the future?
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KMV's clients receive software that translates publicly available financial data into probabilities that a particular borrower will default.
Since we are surrounded by uncertainty, it seems odd that people should be so bad at assessing probabilities.
Although the dollar could still drop down and test its 2008 low, the probabilities of that are now diminishing.
Every decision is a game of probabilities: an optimization between information and time.
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Finally, the speed with which the lemmings are moving can also be measured and is incorporated into the probabilities.
You can access an avalanche of ratios capturing the probabilities of batting, pitching and fielding events, and every imaginable influence on them.
That means that we need to think harder about when and how we communicate statistics like probabilities and return periods.
Geismer is the founder of Quantitative Investment Management which would seem to indicate an interest in statistics and probabilities.
Statistics, by definition, use the past to make some probabilistic statement about the future, but probabilities are far from reality.
This translates to a six-hour window either side of the expected decay which is based on a range of probabilities.
Unless you know how the numbers were derived and have some understanding of their context, such probabilities help no one.
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