你知道指纹可以显示我们的很多信息吗?
Did you know that our fingerprints could show a lot about us?
周一:道指下跌5.6%。
相比之下,道指下跌20%显得相当合理。
That makes the 20 per cent fall on the Dow Jones seem pretty reasonable.
People might give that a low probability because it had never been over 10,000, so they just had no psychological anchoring on that number.
人们也许会认为几率不大,因为道指从未突破万点,所以人们心理对这个数字没有锚定效应
For example, in the late 1990s, if you were to ask a question--I'm hypothesizing -how likely is it that the Dow will be over 10,000 by the year 2008?
例如,在90年代末,假如有人问你这样一个问题,道指在2008年底前,突破万点大关的可能性有多大
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