People might give that a low probability because it had never been over 10,000, so they just had no psychological anchoring on that number.

人们也许会认为几率不大,因为道指从未突破万点,所以人们心理对这个数字没有锚定效应

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For example, in the late 1990s, if you were to ask a question--I'm hypothesizing -how likely is it that the Dow will be over 10,000 by the year 2008?

例如,在90年代末,假如有人问你这样一个问题,道指在2008年底前,突破万点大关的可能性有多大

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