The last man standing is asset allocation and that tends to drive both institutional returns and individual returns.

能决定回报率的只剩下资产配置,它将决定,机构投资和个人投资的回报率

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Because that's true, then asset allocation ends up being the overwhelmingly important determinant of the University's results.

因为在这种情况下,资产配置,是学校投资回报率的,支配性的决定因素

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

When you look at the returns for institutions, you see exactly what it is that you'd expect.

当你看到金融机构的投资回报率时,你看到的就是你所期望的

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Are you going to hold the market portfolio, index your assets, match the markets results?

你是应该持有市场投资组合,指数化资产,获取与市场一致的回报率

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

But if you look at the tech fund category, the difference between the dollar-weighted and the time-weighted returns--this is over a ten-year period -is 13.4% per annum; that's stunning.

但是如果你关注科技投资基金,十年间,货币加权回报率,和时间加权回报率间的差距,是每年13.4%,这是非常夸张的

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

If you look at the ten best-performing Internet funds from 1997 to 2002, the time-weighted return is 1.5% per year positive, so the funds went way up and then they went way down.

这十个表现最好的网络投资基金,从1997年到2002年,时间加权回报率是每年1.5%,基金一路涨涨跌跌

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Because we hold relatively stable, relatively well-diversified portfolios, security selection turns out not to be an important determinant of returns for most investors and market timing turns out not to be an important determinant of returns.

因为持有相对稳定,和相对分散的投资组合,证券选择不再是,决定投资者回报率的重要因素,而市场时机选择,也不会成为决定回报率的重要因素

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

But, when you move from lending money to the government -either short-term with bills or longer term with bonds -to investing in the equity market, there's a stunning difference in terms of the returns.

当你转变投资方式,从借钱给政府,即通过短期债券或长期债券的形式,变成投资于股票市场,回报率的差别会大到让你吃惊

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

He's come to the conclusion that over 90% of the variability of returns in institutional portfolios is attributable to asset allocation and that's the number that I think most people hear cited when they are looking at Roger Ibbotson's work.

他得出结论,机构投资中,超过90%的回报率变动,要归因于资产配置,我想这是罗格·伊博森的文章里面,被人引用得最多的结论

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选

Compound that 13.4% over ten years and there's just an enormous gap between those mutual fund numbers that are in the prospectus and in the advertisement--the time-weighted returns and the dollar-weighted returns that talk about the actual experience of the investment community.

按13.4%复利算一下10年期的结果,你会发现在招股说明书和广告里给出的,用来反映投资机构实际业绩水平的,时间加权回报率,和货币加权回报率数字之间,有着巨大的差异

耶鲁公开课 - 金融市场课程节选