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Alonso's switch to Ferrari has been an open secret in F1 for weeks and BBC Sport understands he signed his contract as long ago as July 2008.
BBC: Ferrari confirm capture of Alonso
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Alonso's switch to Ferrari had been the worst-kept secret in F1, and the announcement is likely to trigger a string of driver moves.
BBC: Ferrari confirm capture of Alonso
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Because the proceedings are secret, researchers know little about what exactly motivates cardinals to switch their votes, but Romain Lachat, a political scientist at Pompeu Fabra University in Barcelona, says the formation of coalitions where electors slowly rally around a man who may only be their second or third choice is inevitable.
NPR: Arcane Process Encourages Papal Horse Trading