研究表明，相对于常规调度方式，窝水库实施防洪预报调度方式未增加水库及其上下游的防洪风险。
The result shows that in spite of the dispatch according to flood forecasting requests the adjustment of flood releasing mode of the reservoir, the risk o…
水库防洪； 分类预报调度方式； 风险分析； 洪水预报； 洪水分类； 相应涨差模型； 三角模糊数； 天气系统；
Reservoir Flood Control; Classified Forecast Dispatching Mode; Risk Analysis; Flood Forecast; Flood Classification; Corresponding Rising Difference Model; Triangle Fuzzy Number; Weather Systems;
水库实施的防洪预报调度方式是解决我国防洪和兴利之间矛盾的一条有效途径，其对水库上下游的防洪风险率的大小是决定其能否实施的关键。
The present article aims to introduce the authors research on the method of flood control forecast operation a reservoir can actualize in a flood season.
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