笔者认为,油价上涨对经济的最大影响,在于需求震荡(demand shock),在于消费和增长。不过如今经济对石油的依赖度,已大不如前,因此再现1974年第一次石油危机或1980年第二次石油危机时那种滞胀的...
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经济已经陷入了一个致命的循环,需要一次强烈的震荡来缓解信贷的流通,缓冲已经下跌的个人需求。
The economy was "trapped in a vicious cycle" and needed a big "jolt" to ease the flow of credit and to cushion the drop in private demand.
但是,需求正在减少,而美国国债市场也开始震荡。
But that demand is fading, and the Treasury market has become volatile.
中国经济快速增长不但拉动国内石油需求猛增,而且引起国际市场的强烈震荡;
The fast increase of economy in China, not only drives the up rush of internal oil demand, but also causes the intense shock of international market.
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