方法根据中心极限定理和连续性校正原理，给出一次近似法和校正一次近似法计算总体率可信区间的公式。

Methods Based on central limit theorem and continuity correction principal , the formula of once approximate method and its continuity correction formula were derived.

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校正失败会置数据系列的连续性于危机中。而使得由这些数据生成的气候模式的真实可信度降低。

Failure to make the calibration puts the continuity of the data series at risk, making climate models based on those data less reliable.

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