飞来峡水库的洪水预报和调度在北江流域的江河水库联合调度中十分重要，因此研究其洪水预报模型具有重要的意义。
Flood forecast and operation of Feilaixia Project are essential in joint operation of reservoirs in the North River Basin, hence, it is of important significance to study its flood forecast model.
水库防洪； 分类预报调度方式； 风险分析； 洪水预报； 洪水分类； 相应涨差模型； 三角模糊数； 天气系统；
Reservoir Flood Control; Classified Forecast Dispatching Mode; Risk Analysis; Flood Forecast; Flood Classification; Corresponding Rising Difference Model; Triangle Fuzzy Number; Weather Systems;
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