在研究过程中，法格林和她的研究小组让356名妇女中的175人估计了女性患乳腺癌的平均比率，然后又告知所有的人，正确答案应该是13%。
During the study, Fagerlin and her team asked 175 out of 356 women to estimate the average risk of breast cancer, then told all the women that the actual risk was 13 percent.
结论：移动平均比率法可以为我们提供较准确的预测数据，为医院管理提供决策依据。
Conclusion: Moving average rate method can provide precise data for us and it can be used for reference for hospitals management.
这里主要讲述季节变动的移动平均比率法，其它成分调用统计程序包进行计算。
Here we mainly talk about moving average proportion method of season change, other compositions call statistic program packages.
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