我在1989年的《我们的预测能力》(Our Power to Predict)一书中预测,日本将经历12~14年的下滑期,而这段时间恰恰是美国和欧洲史上最强盛的10年。
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它会改变我们预测未来以及为未来做决定的能力吗?
Will it transform our ability to predict and make decisions about the future?
conllins写道”我们形成有意义的预测这样的能力相当有限。
“The ability to make meaningful predictions is still quite limited, ” wrote Collins.
conllins写道”我们形成有意义的预测这样的能力相当有限。
“The ability to make meaningful predictions is still quite limited,” wrote Collins.
we tried to anticipate what companies might not be able to file and buy their bonds in advance.
我们试图去预测,什么样的公司可能没有能力发布,然后提前购买它们的债券。
The last hundred years, in the U.S., don't really have that much predictive power.
在接下来的上百年时间里,在美国,我们并不具备那么强大的预测能力。
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