当心不要出偏差。
如果风险管理者过于介入技术分析,结果将显示出偏差,且很可能事实上就是有偏差。
Therefore, if a risk manager is too involved in the technical analyses, the results will appear biased and may in fact be biased.
在日常生活中知觉偏差是很有用处的,这能让你判断出一个物体的长度,宽度和高度。
In everyday life this perceptual bias is useful; it is what normally allows you to understand how distant objects occupy space.
So,we're talking about a group of funds that in aggregate probably produced somewhere in the low teens returns and he's got 11.7% per year combined survivorship bias and backfill bias.
因此我们说这组基金总体上,大概产生了略高于10%的收益率,他算出的数字是每年11.7%,结合了生存偏差和回填偏差
Roger Ibbotson took a look at a larger group of funds -3,500--funds over a ten-year period and found survivorship bias at 2.9% per year and backfill bias at 4.6% per year.
罗杰·伊博森研究了更大的样本组,3500支基金10年间的表现,算出其生存偏差是每年2.9%,回填偏差是每年4.6%
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