在2007年,他出版了《黑天鹅:高度意外性事件的影响》,主张人们不应该忽略罕见和不可预测事件的可能性和重要性。
In 2007, he published the Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, which argues that we should never ignore the possibility or importance of rare, unpredictable events.
全球需求的不可预测性,以及为了满足需求而增加更多奶牛所需的滞后时间,可能会导致像近期奶酪过剩等事件的发生。
The unpredictability of global demand and the lag time it takes to add more cows to a herd to meet demand can result in events like the recent cheese surplus.
流感大流行(影响世界大部分地区的疾病暴发)属于不可预测,但又重复发生的事件,可对世界范围内的卫生、经济和社会造成影响。
Influenza pandemics (outbreaks that affect a large proportion of the world) are unpredictable but recurring events that can have health, economic and social consequences worldwide.
Almost any game you play has some kind of randomness or pseudorandomness which means that things change overtime somewhat unpredictably.
大多数你所玩过的游戏都有某种,随机数或者伪随机数,这就意味着每个事件都存在不可预测性。
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