The ARMA model was used to describe the prior distribution of observed discharge and the ar model was adopted to simulate the likelihood function of forecasting error.
该模型采用ARMA模型描述实测流量的先验分布,采用AR模型模拟预报残差的似然函数,并假定先验分布和似然函数均服从正态分布。
The results of numeric simulation and real seismic data processing showed that the ARMA model was characterized by parameter-economic and high efficiency in comparison with MA model;
数值模拟结果和实际地震数据处理结果表明:自回归滑动平均(ARMA)模型比滑动平均(MA)模型具有参数节省、模型更为高效的特点;
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