One of the unfortunate paradoxes of the post-September 11 environment is that the further in time we move from that horrible day, and the more effective our security agencies become at preventing another successful terrorist attack on American soil, the more susceptible many Americans become to the notion that the terrorist threat has receded.

CENTERFORSECURITYPOLICY: Green Borders

Now that the immediate Israeli threat has receded somewhat, Gocshel predicts a domestic political confrontation between the Shiite Muslim movement, Hezbollah, and the country's other sectarian political groups.

NPR: Divided Lebanon Wary of Hezbollah 'Victory'