但是,它们也使经济更容易受到某些小概率的“尾部事件”(tail events)的伤害,因为分散化、多元化程度的提高不可避免地会导致相互关联,进而在金融机构、企业和居民之间形成潜在的多米诺骨牌效应。
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Third, I emphasise that tail events need to be carefully modeled.
第三,我要强调的是,(经济危机过后的)末尾事件需要进行仔细的模拟和推演。
In other words, it was not a random drawing from a distribution of events with a fat tail but actually predictable in advance given the rising macro and financial risks and vulnerabilities.
换句话说,它并非带有肥尾的一系列离散事件的随机结果,而是在事先观察到上升的宏观及金融风险后完全可以预见到的。
Nassim Taleb and a few other finance scholars stressed the risk of fat-tail extreme events in financial markets.
纳西姆·塔雷柏及其他几位金融学者强调了金融市场中肥尾(fat - tail)极端事件的风险。
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