Mr. Bernanke and his colleagues were clearly caught by surprise, but the budget expert Stan Collender predicted it all.

显然，伯南克先生和他的同事们感到吃惊，不过，预算专家斯坦·科林德尔已经做出了全部的预计。

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Stan Collender, managing director of the Federal Budget Consulting Group, a private firm, argues that the politics of a budget surplus are fundamentally different from those of a deficit.

ECONOMIST: Budgetary follies