Some forecasters, such as the IMF, expect China's trade surplus to start widening again this year unless the government makes bold policy changes, such as revaluing the yuan.
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There are other reasons too why some forecasters are less glum.
其它还有多个原因可解释为什么一些预测家不是那么悲观。
The consensus is for a modest 3% growth rate in the second half, but some forecasters call that optimistic.
他们普遍认为下半年的增长率只有3%,但一些人觉得这种预测太乐观了。
The future is scarier still: some forecasters talk of 16% unemployment, and Spain’s savings banks predict 18% (over 4m people) in 2010.
未来仍就令人不安:一些预测人士估计失业率将达到16%,西班牙储蓄银行预计到2010年失业率会达到18%(超过400万人失业)。
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