"The latest UK retail sales figures are pretty good - as much for the upward revisions to past months as for July's figure, " said Vicky Redwood at Capital Economics.
Taking all three surveys together, they point to GDP declining by 0.8% or 0.9% in the fourth quarter, an even bigger contraction than the 0.5% fall in the third, according to Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics, a consultancy.