By "random," I mean really random: Pound the keyboard for a while, like a monkey trying to write Shakespeare.
随机的意思就是说,随意地敲击键盘一会,就像猴子试着写莎士比亚一样。
NOTE: when I said "random" in this post, I naturally mean the pseudorandom number generators computers use, which isn't really random, but was more than close enough for our project.
注意:本文中的“随机”是指计算机使用的伪随机数,而非真随机,但从项目中来看已经不错了。
But the fluctuations aren't really random.
但其实这种情绪摇摆并不是捉摸不定的。
When you look at a random walk you have the intuitive impression that you can extrapolate it -that it doesn't look like -you can't believe it's really random, but the reason you can't is because you overweigh the probability of certain things that caught your attention.
当人们观察随机漫步序列时会有直观印象,并可以以此类推,虽然这看起来并不像...,人们不会觉得这是完全随机的,之所以如此,是因为,人们过分高估了特定事物发生的可能性,这吸引了人们的注意
This refers to random variables that have fat-tailed distributions-- random variables that occasionally give you really big outcomes.
这就表示,服从长尾分布的随机变量,这些数据出现极端值的概率比较大
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