So the first argument, that's a straight forward argument, the second argument says, I put myself in other peoples shoes, I realize they're not going to play a dominated strategy, and therefore, having realized they're not going to play a dominated strategy, I shouldn't play a strategy between 45 and 67.

所以第一个过程是直截了当地,而第二个过程,我从别人的角度思考,发现他们并不会选择劣势策略,意识到他们并不会选择劣势策略后,我也不应该选择45至67的数

耶鲁公开课 - 博弈论课程节选

In the early 1960s, U.S. nuclear strategists realized that a national strategy entirely reliant upon the threat of massive nuclear retaliation was not credible, that most challenges would not rise to the level of justifying nuclear response and that the Soviets would seek to take advantage of that fact.

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He realized early that the best strategy was to harass the British.

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