We analyzed the options value by Monte Carlo simulation. Product price, market demand, self-manufacturing cost and outsourcing cost are considered as the sources of uncertainty in the simulation.
模型中包含产品价格、市场需求、自制生产成本和外包生产成本等四种不确定性源，并通过蒙特卡罗模拟得到生产外包的期权价值。
Meanwhile, simulation is a tool to develop, test and maintain the system to shorten the development life-cycle, improve the product quality and save research cost.
同时，仿真系统作为系统的研制、生产和维护的使用工具，可缩短研制周期，提高产品质量，节省研制费用。
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