We discuss the issues including availability of system, response time distribution, probability of events loss, fairness.

讨论系统可用性、响应时间分布、事件丢失概率、公平性等问题。

youdao

As Posner emphasizes, it is very difficult to estimate with any precision what is the actual probability of highly infrequent events, and such a leak would fall within this class.

正如波斯纳强调的，要精确估计高度偶发事件的实际发生概率是非常困难的，这次的漏油事件就是属于这类事件。

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In the immediate aftermath of such crises, it is difficult to convince people that the wrenching events are not likely to recur any time soon, because, with a (very) low probability, they might.

在这些危机发生后不久，很难劝服人们相信这种痛苦事件近期内不会再次发生，因为它们还是有可能发生，只是概率极低。

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That says that if you have independent probabilities, then the probability of two events is equal to the product of their probabilities.

意思是,几个相互独立的事件,其中两个事件同时发生的概率,等于他们分别发生的概率的乘积

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By contrast, in fat-tailed distributions, the median is extremely small compared to the mean, meaning that the probability of infrequent events is enormous.

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In this we see the genius of the entire book: Silver is able to appeal to those who are both mathematically and non-mathematically inclined, building a compelling story as to why both types of reader should be interested in the better quantification and understanding of the probability of the events that surround us every day.

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The probability of any one of the above-mentioned events (and many more that could be added to a list of potential triggers) may be small in a given year, but the combined probability of at least one or more of these events happening in the next three years is high.

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