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probabilistic forecasting

概率预测

...力网关键词: 年最大负荷; 概率预测; 灰色预测; 气候因素 [gap=753]Key words: annual peak load; probabilistic forecasting; grey forecasting; climate factor ...

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地球科学 | 电子、通信与自动控制技术 | 经济学

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abstract: Probabilistic forecasting summarises what is known, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to a single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different outcomes, and the complete set of probabilities represents a probability forecast.

以上来源于: WordNet

During the recent decade, a new tendency of long-term earthquake forecasting or seismic potential study has been shifting gradually from deterministic analysis to probabilistic analysis.

近十年来，长期地震预测或地震潜势研究的新趋势是：由确定性分析逐渐转向概率性分析。

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He points out that, with the exception of an informal system in California, no country in the world has yet set up regular probabilistic earthquake forecasting that can be used to guide emergency actions.

ECONOMIST: An extraordinary manslaughter trial starts in Italy
Here's how the probabilistic forecast test would work for temperature, for instance: forecasters would be given 100 notional forecasting "tokens" for every forecast.

BBC: News - Today - BBC Weather Test: Setting course

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