规范(Normative)研究： 研究世界应该如何运行 后此谬误（post hoc fallacy）:一个事件在 另一事件发生之前，并不一定是后者的原因 不能保持其他条件不变：分析一个变量对经济 体系的影响时要保持其他条件...
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the post hoc fallacy 后此谬误
Tip: to avoid the post hoc fallacy, the arguer would need to give us some explanation of the process by which the tax increase is supposed to have produced higher crime rates.
技巧：上述示例中，避免原因错误，论者需要给予解释，说明提高了的税赋是怎样导致了犯罪率升高的。
This fallacy gets its name from the Latin phrase "post hoc, ergo propter hoc," which translates as "after this, therefore because of this."
该谬误来源于拉丁习语“post hoc, ergo proter hoc”，“在它之后，也正是由于它”。
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