But he's wrong about everything else. It does matter whether the change is positive or negative, and it does matter what you believe.
但除此以外的事情——改变是正面的还是负面的这不要紧,要紧的是你相信什么——他都错了。
If the model that was used to make the extrapolation is wrong in some way, then the result could be a false positive.
如果我们使用的数学模型在某些方面有错误,那么结果也有可能是错的。
If you bought equity in Japan at the wrong time it could take 50 years to realise a positive return.
在日本,假如你在错误的时机买进股票,你得等50年才能取得正收益。
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