If Brazil's economy is to benefit from oil, rather than be dominated by it, a big chunk of the proceeds should be saved offshore and used to offset future recessions.

如果巴西经济能够从石油中获益而不是任由其支配，那么收益的大部分应该储存起来，用来弥补未来的经济衰退。

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“Even if oil demand were to remain flat, the world would need to find more than 40m barrels per day of gross new capacity—equal to four new Saudi Arabias—just to offset this decline,” says Mr Birol.

Birol先生表示：“即使对石油需求保持不变，世界也需要每天找到大于4000万桶——相当于四个新沙特阿拉伯产量的新石油来抵消供给下降。

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"Even if oil demand were to remain flat, the world would need to find more than 40m barrels per day of gross new capacity-equal to four new Saudi arabias-just to offset this decline," says Mr Birol.

Birol先生表示：“即使对石油需求保持不变，世界也需要每天找到大于4000万桶——相当于四个新沙特阿拉伯产量的新石油来抵消供给下降。”

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Tapping into the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help offset rising oil prices is another way to keep prices stable, albeit short term.

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Exxon's oil refining business saw higher margins but this was offset by a 7.5% drop in oil and gas production.

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Admittedly these gains for developed economies are being partly offset by higher prices for oil and other raw materials, which China also needs to import (of which more in the next article).

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