Creditspreads onjunkbonds, which are an indicationoffuturedefault rates, rosefrom 260 basis pointsover Treasurynotesin early 2007 to 1,200 basis points in late 2008 (see chart).
Hulbert also notes that the standards used to determine whether individual investors are over-invested in bonds and under invested in stocks are unclear at the moment, and it was completely rational for such investors to avoid stocks in recent years.