SAMUEL GOLDWYN is one of several people believed to have said, "never make forecasts, especially about the future".

“永远别推测，尤其是别推测未来。”好几个人都曾说过这样的话，萨缪尔就是其中一个。

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Do you sometimes wonder why economists are accorded such respect and influence given the fact that they claim knowledge over the unknowable, promote theories that are untestable, and make forecasts for which they are never held accountable?

FORBES: The Fundamental Fallacies Of Macroeconomics