He correctly predicted that invading Iraq with too few troops would lead to chaos. He urged George Bush to send more (and sack Donald Rumsfeld) while other Republicans stayed mute. Now that the president has belatedly followed his advice and the “surge” appears to be working, Mr McCain looks both bold and prescient. And though he is not the most electric of speakers, crowds listen to him because of who he is. No other candidate was tortured for years by the Vietcong, or refused to be freed unless his fellow prisoners were freed too. When Mr McCain says he will win in Iraq and pursue Osama bin Laden to the gates of Hell, many voters believe him.

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