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Now they can make good forecasts for about two weeks.

现在他们可以做出大约两周的良好预测。

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SAMUEL GOLDWYN is one of several people believed to have said, “never make forecasts, especially about the future”.

“永远别推测，尤其是别推测未来。” 好几个人都曾说过这样的话，萨缪尔就是其中一个。

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Rather, they subjectively fit curves to historical data and then run computer simulations to make untestable forecasts about the distant future.

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The bad news for Merck is that for it to make its forecasts for this year, just about everything has to go right.

FORBES: Magazine Article

Start thinking about the four or five key assumptions you make in your forecasts.

FORBES: Magazine Article