Most people believe that an inverted yield curve heralds a recession, and right now we have an inverted yield curve at the point where new money is supposed to enter the economy.

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The Flatiron Building, for instance, materializes as a thick inverted pencil that stretches down the wall, its point extending onto the floor.

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The yield curve is flattening in America (the gap between the short-term federal funds rate and yields on ten-year Treasuries is only a smidgeon more than one percentage point) and in Britain it is inverted (long bonds yield less than shorter ones).

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