...取值所能解释的程度,然后验证通过引入序列A的滞后值是否可以提高B的被解释程度,如果是,则称序列A是B的格兰杰成因(Granger Cause),此时A的滞后期系数具有统计显著性。变量是否平稳会影响Granger因果检验。
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为防止伪相关,需要对 变量进行格兰杰因果检验(Granger Cause):先估计 序列y被其自身滞后取值所能解释的程度,然后验 证通过引入另一序列x的滞后值。看是否可以提高 Y的被解释程度。
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Due to adjustment relationship,banking credit in turn becomes Granger cause for short term price fluctuation.
而银行信贷也通过协整关系成为房地产价格短期波动的Granger原因。
参考来源 - 房地产价格波动与银行信贷增长的实证研究·2,447,543篇论文数据,部分数据来源于NoteExpress
Test results show that bank credit is Granger cause of housing price and had the greatest impact on it.
检验结果表明银行信贷是住房价格的格兰杰原因,对住房价格的影响也最大。
The result shows that there exists strong correlation between credit distribution and economic growth, and the growth rate of credit is the Granger cause of economic growth rate;
结果发现,贷款分布与经济增长之间存在较强的相关关系,贷款增长率是经济增长率的格兰杰原因;
The economic growth is Granger cause of urbanization level - raising, and the effect of the economic growth on the urbanization is stronger than that of the urbanization on the economic growth.
经济增长是城市化水平提高的格兰杰原因;经济增长对城市化的作用要强于城市化对经济增长的影响。
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