But central Banks already try to estimate the "output gap", the extent to which economic growth is above or below trend, when setting interest rates-and that's fiendishly difficult.
但是央行已经开始尝试评估“产出缺口,”来确定制定利率政策时,经济增长是否高于发展趋势的程度,这也是十分困难的。
Rather than follow the conventional route of deriving an inflation forecast from an estimate of potential output, they do the opposite: they infer the output gap from the behaviour of inflation.
他们不是按照传统根据产出缺口来推测通货膨胀率,而是反过来:从通货膨胀的走势来推测产出缺口。
When someone see a mature man with a woman half his age, they estimate him to be much older than it really is because of the obvious gap, said the study.
研究表示,当人们看到一个成熟的男人和只有他一半年龄的女性在一起时,因为年龄差距较大,这个男人往往要显得比实际年龄更大一些。
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