It was analyzed the source of risk in river basin real-time flood control operation, and obtained important risk analysis decision factors.
分析了流域实时防洪调度风险源，并筛选出重要风险分析因子；
Base on the theory of grey system, a new decision method, a grey relational decision model, is proposed and used to then multipurpose reservoir flood control operation.
以灰色系统的灰关联决策为理论基础，针对洪水调度的特点，提出了一个切实可行的多目标水库洪水调度的灰关联决策模型。
Reservoir flood control operation mode without forecast information always delays the opportunity to release or impound, increases flood risk and wastes flood resources.
不考虑预报设计的调度方式往往贻误泄流或蓄水时机，增加防洪风险或造成洪水资源的浪费。
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