In Oman Shell overbooked 250 million barrels of oil equivalent in reserves it expected to find in expansions of existing fields.

FORBES: Shell Shocked

However, if Chesapeake is not able to develop its shale reserves as expected, there can be a downside to our forecasts.

FORBES: Chesapeake Good For $38 But Faces Big Fracking Headaches

Growth, inflation, the balance of payments and foreign exchange reserves are all expected to show the effects of lost businesses and reconstruction costs.

BBC: NEWS | Business | Tsunami slows Sri Lanka's growth