Lowabsolutelevelof the benchmarkinterest rate at this stage, there arestilllargeroom for growth, the central bank to raise interest ratesthis weekshould be the highprobabilityevent.
However, this assessment appears at odds with what seismologists have known for at least 20 years that small earthquakes increase the likelihood that a powerful event will happen in the near future, even if the absolute probabilityof such an event remains low.
Thus, by deliberately disrupting all redundant safety systems, saboteurs can cause a severe event that would have had only a very lowprobabilityof occurrence if left to chance.